Reliability Analysis for Dynamic Demand Information of Emergency Logistics After Earthquake Disasters Based on Possibility Theory
发布时间：2020-09-30
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所属单位：中南大学交通运输工程学院
发表刊物：Proceedings of 2010 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering
刊物所在地：MARRICKVILLE
关键字：Emergency logistics, Dynamic relief demand information, Reliability, Posbist reliability theory, Earthquake disasters
摘要：This paper presents a model for identifing the information reliability of dynamic relief demand under the conditions of disorder and uncertainness in affected areas during the crucial rescue period of an earthquake disaster. Firstly, the uncertainties of relief demand information are analyzed. Secondly the fuzzy membership function is constructed for evaluating membership degree of the reliability of diverse information sourcing from affected areas. Thirdly, the maximal possibility reliability is solved and then the right information is selected for approximating the time-varying relief demands based on posbist possibility theory. Finally, the numerical simulation demonstrated the applicability of the proposed model in dynamically forecasting area-based relief demands after an earthquake disaster.
论文类型：论文集
页面范围：761-765
是否译文：否
发表时间：2010-11-20
收录刊物：CPCI-S