Language : English
Cai Jianming

Journal Publications

System Dynamics Modeling for a Public–Private Partnership Program to Promote Bicycle–Metro Integration Based on Evolutionary Game

DOI number:10.1177/03611981211012425

Affiliation of Author(s):中南大学交通运输工程学院

Journal:Transportation Research Record

Abstract:A marriage between dockless bike-sharing systems and rail transit presents new opportunities for sustainable transportation in Chinese cities. However, how to promote the bicycle–metro integration mode remains largely unstudied. This paper designs a public–private partnership program to promote bicycle–metro integration. We consider the cooperation between bike-sharing companies and rail transit companies to improve both services and attract long-distance travelers to choose the bicycle–metro integration mode, with government subsidies. To analyze the proportion of each population participating in this public–private partnership program, we establish an evolutionary game model considering bike-sharing companies, rail transit companies, and long-distance travelers, and obtain eight scenarios of equilibriums and corresponding stable conditions. To prove the evolutionary game analysis, we construct a system dynamics simulation model and confirm that the public–private partnership project can be achieved in reality. We discuss key parameters that affect the final stable state through sensitivity analysis. The results demonstrate that by reasonably adjusting the values of parameters, each equilibrium can be changed into an optimal evolutionary stable strategy. This study can provide useful policy implications and operational recommendations for government agencies, bike-sharing companies, and transit authorities to promote bicycle–metro integration.

First Author:Jianming Cai

Indexed by:Journal paper

Correspondence Author:Yue Liang

Discipline:Engineering

First-Level Discipline:Transportation Engineering

Document Type:J

Volume:2675

Issue:10

Page Number:689–710

Translation or Not:no

Included Journals:SCI

Links to published journals:https://journals.sagepub.com/eprint/Y9TRJBEZWVRAMGUWJDUE/full