基于后果概率估计的地铁集群火灾风险评估
Hits:
Release time:2022-02-26 Impact Factor:1.054 DOI number:10.19713/j.cnki.43-1423/u.t20200888 Journal:铁道科学与工程学报 Key Words:集群火灾风险;火灾风险评估;后果概率估计法;火灾事故等级 Abstract:有很多大型企事业单位包含了火灾风险特征相似的多个建筑或场所,可将这些建筑或场所定义为"集群"。目前,尚缺乏集群火灾风险评估的相关研究。为了降低集群火灾风险及提升决策者对于集群火灾风险的认知和重视,需探讨集群在其全寿命周期内发生火灾的可能性。针对集群火灾风险评估,建立了后果概率估计法,即"通过对评估对象火灾后不同维度后果（重伤人数、死亡人数、直接财产损失）的概率进行估计,并参照火灾风险值基准来计算该评估对象的火灾风险值"。通过邀请5名专家运用后果概率估计法评估了长沙地铁集群（99座车站,其中有12座换乘站）的火灾风险。结果表明:长沙地铁的火灾风险值为70.45,为中风险等级。 Correspondence Author:刘顶立，徐志胜，王飞跃* Discipline:Engineering First-Level Discipline:Safety Science and Engineering Document Type:J Volume:18 Issue:3 Page Number:813820 ISSN No.:1672-7029 Translation or Not:no Date of Publication:2021-03-10 -
|
 Zip Code:29de886ef04ea8e6bb6524718289602cee55da1b72cbca5e543eee953dbdfd725cbb3452e6f559f002895ea05f9ec189ad2662337a9dfe3cfab88628ac1e33b58ab92d5f303dab48349656eb993b72f19c2fe1eecbc0ead6f34e8dbcbc4187938ecf445556e4ffe069bf05d397e219f701c24878133a1d9f1f3600005969cd3d Postal Address:1bca84da6a0b5d8b73fefbb3d061bde993ae0c7569299d7771c87135c1efa1da7a68b8d4c3d58fbdc2a39cf6c577a0ddf4dc0507e2706879dfb50ddcfd71ca2ff4531c2545625693b41f9afb9c22d7b134f6cbd0e1a8b41c96b1c9fc7c83deda571d414da33503b7f847b24d19e324057c378004eff2b8b850b4ea775239551e Office Phone:04d329b602c3b3bd379410e0c3ab0fd568d70a3e7f494d0c5391a0ee92d835f427c549506553fa836e3c1d1d061c6e151ade2b07d470847bafb648728501840158053932771cf52d80256209a070bfcc68d75b91621be3f0c8cc29a829ebdb2a6cbb58af9bb9e645a843884a77449b22757c218727daf8391ec3dcc125c44fe6 Email:a605aede6386ee075e5d57e51d5352f54f247b976cf1ed5cd9c3ad428ac4a585137dc9db3f3384e4477b578c1e57206cf72a0f5a3741373f03796d044aed73b1e668903d3788d2c65c26d95dde9e9d59e39fe9bbfa0846ad1f2010be03a2a9344b03462e5a9293fa87d82669158c4d722d145acbae68cb119fbbd7dfe5863260
|
MOBILE Version